Wednesday, 16 August 2017

Asian Shares Mostly Climb As Investors Digest Regional Earnings And A Stronger Dollar

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Asian shares were mostly higher in early Wednesday trade as investors digested earnings releases from regional corporates and a resurgent Dollar.

Japan's Nikkei 225 edged down 0.03 percent, with gains in most tech stocks offset by losses in auto names. South Korea's Kospi rose 0.67 percent as markets returned from a public holiday.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.07 percent, as steep gains in the energy sub-index, which was up by 3.26 percent, were offset by declines in the health care, information technology, and financial sub-indexes.

US July retail sales rose 0.6 percent, which was stronger, than the 0.4 percent forecast. Meanwhile, retail sales for the month of June were revised upwards to reflect a 0.3 percent gain from a previously recorded 0.2 percent decline.

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Spices (Jeera & Turmeric) Trade Today - Nifty Future Tips

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NCDEX Jeera for Sep delivery contract closed lower on Monday mainly on profit booking. The prices have been trading in a range on reports lower arrivals in Gujarat on expectation of damage to stored jeera due to heavy rains but lower export demand.

Turmeric futures for Sep delivery fall more than 1.8% on Monday as market participants initiated fresh selling tracking weak spot market and good sowing progress. Moreover, forecast of good rains in coming weeks in south may keep the prices under pressure. After good start to turmeric sowing in Telangana, acreage under turmeric, as on 9th August, down 2.3% to 44,299 hectares as compared to last year acreage of 43,315 hectares.

Outlook

We expect Jeera futures expected to trade sideways to higher today on expectation of good physical demand and diminishing stocks. However, profit booking at higher levels may restrict the price rise.

Turmeric futures expected to trade lower on expectation of further corrections from higher levels due to forecast of good rains in south India.

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Cotton / Kapas Futures Are Expected Trade Sideways To Lower - Equity Trading Tips

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MCX Oct Cotton closed more than 1% down on Monday tracking weak International prices coupled with higher acreage in the country. This is second fall of more than 1% in a week to currently trading at two weeks low. As per latest data from Agricultural Ministry, the area under cotton was at 117.1 lakh ha, up 18.3% on year.

Outlook

Cotton futures are expected trade sideways to lower on expectation of further corrections due to weak international prices on reports of good production worldwide. However, crop damage from heavy rains in cotton growing areas of Gujarat coupled with pest attack noticed is still concern.

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Nifty To Open gap up by 6 points at 9815: Dynamic Levels

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Nifty to open gap up by 6 points at 9815 against Monday’s close of 9809 as per SGX Nifty, according to a report by Dynamic Levels.

Indian Market Outlook:

After five days of consecutive selling, the Indian benchmark Index Nifty showed strength on August 14. The Index closed at 9794 after making a high of 9818. Bank Nifty also remained strong last day.The Index opened at 24051 and closed at 24116 after making a high of 24212. Federal Bank up by 2.98 percent, PNB by 2.03 percent and Yes Bank by 2.25 percent were among the movers in the Banking Index.

The cash market benchmark Index, small cap was up by 2.83 percent on Monday. The Index closed at 7369 after making a high of 7379.

Nifty to open gap up by 6 points at 9815 against Monday’s close of 9809 as per SGX Nifty.

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Market Live: Sensex, Nifty Remain Sluggish Post Green Opening; Pharma, FMCG Gain

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The drag was led by a fall in banks, while pharmaceuticals and FMCG stocks were in the green.

Jubilant Foodworks, the operator of Domino’s Pizza and Dunkin’ Donuts, gained around 6 percent intraday on Wednesday as investors cheered a target price hike by CLSA.

The global research firm increased the target price on the stock from Rs 1,600 to Rs 1,900, implying an upside of over 18 percent. Further, CLSA also raised the target PE multiple from 55 times to 60 times as well.

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Affirming its positive stance is also the increase in same store sales growth (SSSG) and FY19-20 earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by 6-12 percent as well.

$27 Billion Riding On These Top 10 Largest offshore India-Focussed Equity Funds And ETFs

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The total assets of the 10 largest India-focussed offshore funds and ETFs swelled during the quarter ended June 2017 compared with the previous quarter.

It ended the June quarter at USD 27.3 billion compared with USD 25.4 billion in the previous quarter and USD 20.5 billion as of June 30, 2016, Morningstar said in a report.

Positive environment in the domestic markets kept sentiments in the Indian stock markets upbeat, leading almost all the major domestic stock market indexes to surge during the quarter, said the report.

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The S&P BSE Sensex Index moved up by 4.4 percent, although it was lower than the 11.2% appreciation it witnessed in the previous quarter (ended March 2017).

These funds constitute around half of the overall assets of the India-focussed offshore funds and ETF universe. For the June quarter, the list of the 10 largest India-focussed offshore funds and ETFs remained unchanged from the previous quarter.

IShares MSCI India retained its top spot as the largest India-focussed offshore fund and ETF during the quarter. Robust inflows helped the fund’s asset size to grow to USD 5.0 billion from USD 4.7 billion in the previous quarter.


Oil Prices Edge Up on Falling U.S. Crude Inventories, But Global Glut Still Weighs - Nifty Future Tips

Oil prices rose early on Wednesday on a fall in U.S. crude inventories, although analysts said that markets were still being weighed down by general oversupply. Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $51.01 per barrel at 0023 GMT, up 21 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $47.70 a barrel, up 15 cents, or 0.3 percent. API oil inventory data for last week was released showing a large 9.2 million barrel decline in crude inventories, while gasoline inventories showed a small build.

U.S. crude inventories fell by 9.2 million barrels in the week to Aug. 11 to 469.2 million, industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. That compared with analyst expectations for a decrease of 3.1 million barrels.

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Gold Prices Inch Up Ahead Of Minutes From Latest Fed Meeting

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Gold prices firmed early on Wednesday as the dollar weakened slightly, with investors waiting for the release of minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's last meeting in July for clues on the pace of potential interest rate hikes.

Fundamentals

* Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,272.47 per ounce by 0048 GMT, after falling for two straight days.

* U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.13 percent to $1,278.00 per ounce.

* The dollar edged lower in early Asian trading on Wednesday, but held most of its gains made after U.S. retail sales data suggested the economy continued to gain momentum in the third quarter.

* It is perhaps fitting that the biggest annual gathering of central banking's great and good takes place at a fishing retreat: financial markets are angling for the slightest hint on where monetary policy is headed.

* Tuesday he did not share the view of Germany's constitutional court that the European Central Bank may be violating laws on monetary financing with its 2.3 trillion euro asset purchase programme.

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Buy Hero Moto, L&T Finance, Torrent Power; Sell Apollo Hospitals, Marico: Mitessh Thakkar

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Mitessh Thakkar of mitesshthakkar.com told CNBC-TV18, "The buy call is on Hero MotoCorp, where I would expect targets close to about Rs 4,100. It was a call on Monday as well. We are clearly seeing more continuation over here. So buy now with a stop loss at Rs 3,890 for Rs 4,100 as the target. I would buy L&T Finance Holdings with a stop loss of Rs 168.50 for target of Rs 178. A buy on Torrent Power with a stop loss of Rs 197 for target of Rs 215."

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"I have two sell calls, Apollo Hospitals Enterprises had a negative or bearish candlestick pattern on Monday. So, that is a sell with a stop loss at Rs 1,216 for target of Rs 1,145. Marico is something which possibly is giving a signal for a breakdown below the immediate support at Rs 317. So if it starts trading below that, I would sell with a stop loss at Rs 323 for target of Rs 305," he added.

Indian-origin man in Singapore gets USD 2.5 Million After Insurance Company Writes A Bad Reference Letter

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An Indian origin man in Singapore has got approximately USD 2.5 million awarded to him in damages from his previous employer after a defamatory reference letter that was based on false claims cost him his new job.

Ramesh Krishnan had accused AXA Life Insurance of Singapore of defaming him while providing references on his work performance in 2012, as per a report in the Strait Times on Tuesday.

Krishna, who had lost his initial defamation suit in 2015, this time claimed that he should get 63 million Singaporean dollars whereas AXA said that a nominal amount of 1 Singaporean Dollar could settle the dispute.

AXA in its reference letter has written that “He showed a very poor 13-month persistency rate” and “we are very concerned as to whether the clients have been provided with proper advice".

The Court of Appeal in Singapore ruled that AXA had breached its duty of care to Krishnan as his former employer. This was the reason why Prudential Assurance Company did not to hire him.

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Indian Rupee Slips 16 Paise In Opening Trade

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The Indian rupee slipped in the early trade on Wednesday. It has opened lower by 16 paise at 64.28 per dollar versus 64.12 Monday.

Pramit Brahmbhatt of Veracity said, "Encouraging US economic data and FII outflows will help the dollar appreciate. We expect the USD-INR to trade in a range of 64-64.50 for the day."

The US dollar strengthened after economic data, including July retail sales, beat expectations and cast the economy in a relatively favourable light.

The US currency also continues to benefit from abating fears about a military showdown between the US and North Korea.

The pound, on the other hand, tumbled after UK inflation came in softer than expected, quelling some concern that the Bank Of England would soon raise interest rates.

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Market Live: Sensex Turns Negative, Nifty Falls Below 9800; Banking Stocks Take A Hit

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Midcaps were back in favour as they outperformed the benchmarks, while other gainers included FMCG, auto stocks and metals.

Benchmark indices were off the day’s high points, with the Nifty falling below 9800-mark.

The Sensex was down 23.80 points at 31425.23, while the Nifty fell 7.35 points at 9786.80. The market breadth was narrowing as 1,028 shares advanced against a decline of 521 shares, while 57 shares were unchanged.

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L&T, Coal India and Bank of Baroda lost the most on both indices, while HUL, HDFC, Indiabulls Housing and Tata Power gained the most.

Equity benchmarks continued with its positive momentum from the previous session and opened on a good note, with the Nifty reclaiming 9800-mark.

At 9:16 am, the Sensex was up 77.14 points at 31526.17, while the Nifty rose 23.05 points at 9817.20. The market breadth was positive as 626 shares advanced against a decline of 186 shares, while 27 shares were unchanged.

India's Real GDP Growth To Average At 7.4% Over 2017, 2018: Deutsche Bank

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It also termed as 'faulty' the argument that a 7.5-8 per cent real GDP growth in the next few years will still be lower than what was achieved in the boom period of 2006-2008.

India's growth momentum will get stronger with revival in private investment cycle and real GDP growth is expected to average at about 7.4 per cent over 2017 and 2018, says a Deutsche Bank report.

It said the global economy post the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) has adjusted to a new-normal of low-growth low- inflation environment, and India's growth achievement should therefore be judged taking this structural shift into consideration.

"In the current new normal, an economy which delivers a steady 7.5-8.0 per cent growth in real terms should be comparable to 9-10 per cent growth in the pre-GFC period, in our view," it added.

According to the global financial services major, the country's growth momentum will only get stronger as private investment cycle starts reviving gradually, along with continuation of strong private consumption.

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Nifty Can Open On Positive Note, Gain 12 points: Maximus Securities

Trading of SGX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could gain 12.5 points at the opening bell, says Maximus Securities.

Maximus Securities’ Daily Report:F&O Outlook:

Nifty PCR-OI has increased to 0.92 from 0.83. The rise in the ratio may be due to increase in PE of 9500 and decrease in CE of 10300. PE of 9700 and CE of 10000 are the highest number of contracts traded.Opening for the Day:

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Trading of SGX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could gain 12.5 points at the opening bell.


Buy, Sell, Hold: Here are 5 stocks that are on analysts’ radar today

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BPCL, DLC and Coal India, among others are being tracked by investors on Wednesday.


Brokerage: CLSA | Rating: Sell | Target: Raised to Rs 465

The brokerage house said that the net profit came in 34 percent below the estimates, while year on year marketing volume growth underperformed industry and peers. Further, it added that the estimates are not building in earnings per share (EPS) risk of about 5 percent from GST.

Brokerage: CLSA | Rating: Sell | Target: Rs 139

CLSA said that RERA regulation hit pre-sales hard, but was confident about the deal involving stake sale in its rental arm, DCCDL. Moreover, a faster residential uptick and higher deal value are risks to the rating, it added.

Brokerage: CLSA | Rating: Buy | Target: Raised to Rs 458
CLSA said that the weak June quarter will see a reversal in the next quarters on refinery commencements and new structure. Further, a strong volume growth at Hazira and Kattupalli will be drivers for the company’s growth.

Brokerage: Deutsche Bank | Rating: Sell | Target: Cut to Rs 222

The global financial services firm observed that the margin may remain under pressure over the medium term. It also expects a wage inflation to continue and contractual expenses will rise.

Brokerage: Edelweiss | Rating: Buy | Target: Cut to Rs 285
Edelweiss expects FSA realisation to get streamlined as the company ramps up output. Further, tax rate is expected to be higher at 35-36% Vs Earlier level of 32-33%.

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Monday, 14 August 2017

SEBI Close To Locking In Norms For Investments Via Crowdfunding

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The Securities and Exchanges Board of India (SEBI) is close to finalising the norms for crowdfunding in India.

According to Livemint, two sources privy to the developments stated that SEBI will set a cap of 25 percent stake for crowdfunding investors.

Mint also reported that the regulator will require investors via crowdfunding to seek its permission before investing, and also provide the relevant information to other investors in the startup/company.

SEBI may also consider allowing large firms and institutional investors to use this channel for funding smaller enterprises. One of the sources said that the reason for this would be to help genuine entrepreneurial activities with a wider net of funding options as opposed to angel investors who sometimes dictate their terms and even close the option of a company reaching out to other investors.

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Market Live: Sensex, Nifty Up Nearly 1%; July WPI Inflation Doubles To 1.88% MoM

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Dredging Corporation shares rallied 5 percent after strong operational numbers in June quarter.

Net profit of the company fell by 2.5 percent year-on-year to Rs 3.9 crore but revenue grew by 10.8 percent to Rs 157.9 crore in the quarter ended June 2017.

Operating profit jumped 26.7 percent to Rs 37.3 crore and margin expanded 290 basis points to 23.6 percent compared with same quarter last year.

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European stocks opened higher after senior US officials sought to play down risks of a military conflict with North Korea.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 moved up 0.4 percent shortly after the opening bell with almost all sectors and major bourses in positive territory.


BPCL Slips 2% But Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight, Motilal Oswal Remains Neutral

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Shares of oil & natural gas major Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) shed over 2 percent intraday on Monday hitting a low of Rs 472 with research and broking firm Motilal Oswal maintaining a neutral stance while Morgan Stanley has maintained an overweight rating on the stock expecting an earnings turnaround on counter cyclical capacity growth and product quality upgrade.

Earnings of BPCL declined 60 percent QoQ due to one-off costs. While quarterly disclosure does not include refining inventory losses, taking cues from peers, estimating core EBITDA rising 30 percent QoQ. Reported GRMs of USD 4.9/bbl were in line with MSe. Assuming an inventory loss similar to HPCL's, core GRMs would have been at USD 7.6/bbl, up 25 percent QoQ. Morgan Stanley sees steady margin growth as its Kochi refinery (55 percent of total capacity) ramps up higher-margin products. Overall marketing volumes increased 5 percent with auto fuel growth at 14-15 percent, higher than industry growth of 12 percent, implying market share gains.

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RBL Bank Raises Rs 1680 Crore Via Preferential Sale Of 3.26 cr Shares

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RBL Bank (former Ratnakar Bank) today announced its capital infusion of Rs 1,680 crore by selling 3.26 crore shares for Rs 515 per share on a preferential basis to marquee investors.
The bank issued 32,621,354 (or 3.26 crore) equity shares on a preferential basis at a price of Rs 515 per share, adding Rs 16,799,997,310 (Rs 1,680 crore) to the paid-up capital, RBL bank said in a statement.

The small private sector lender had received approval for the capital raise from its Board of Directors on July 7, 2017 followed by approval from its shareholders at its annual general meeting held on August 04, 2017.

Some of the key investors who have participated in this capital raise are CDC Group, Multiples Alternate Asset Management, HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company, Global IVY Ventures, ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company and Steadview Capital. Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Private acted as advisors to the transaction.

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Expect FY18 Revenue From Railways At Rs 1,200 crore: BEML

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BEML revenues have risen over 80 percent this quarter as did the cost of materials. The company has posted an EBITDA loss of Rs 77 crores and a net loss of Rs 85 crores.
Q1 usually has loss due to seasonality but they have been reduced substantially, he said.

This year, I am expecting the mining companies to make up for the loss that they had last year in terms of ordering. So I am extremely bullish on mining, Hota said.

On Metro, he said that the company has a huge healthy order book position. We have got orders from Bengaluru Metro which we are going to execute, Kolkata Metro, execution is on and we are expecting some more orders from Delhi Metro.

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Cardamom Futures Rise Amid Pickup In Demand

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Cardamom futures were trading higher during the morning trade in the domestic market on Monday as investors and speculators extended their positions in the agri-commodity amid rise in physical demand for cardamom in the domestic spot market. Further, insufficient supplies on higher physical arrivals from the major cardamom producing regions, supported the upward trend in the domestic cardamom prices.

At the MCX, cardamom futures for September 2017 contract was trading at Rs 1162.20 per kg, up by 3 per cent, after opening at Rs 1162, against a previous close of Rs 1128.40. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 1162.20.

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Jeera Trading Range For The Day Is 18915-19955 - Equity Trading Tips

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Jeera on NCDEX settled up 1.04% at 19520 on reports lower arrivals in Gujarat on expectation of damage to stored jeera due to heavy rains. Prices also seen supported on tight stocks and hopes for domestic as well exporters buying in the coming days. Jeera output in Gujarat-the major producing states-during 2016-17 was estimated lower at 212,000 ton due to fall in acreage, Gujarat Agriculture ministry data showed.

Technically market is under fresh buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 11.25% to settled at 15039 while prices up 200 rupees, now Jeera is getting support at 19217 and below same could see a test of 18913 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 19737, a move above could see prices testing 19953.

Trading Ideas:

* Jeera trading range for the day is 18915-19955.

* Jeera prices gained on reports lower arrivals in Gujarat on expectation of damage to stored jeera due to heavy rains.

* Jeera output in Gujarat-the major producing states-during 2016-17 was estimated lower at 212,000 ton due to fall in acreage.

* NCDEX accredited warehouses jeera stocks gained by 51 tonnes to 2542 tonnes.

* In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujarat, jeera edged up by 13.35 Rupees to end at 19313.35 Rupees per 100 kg.

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